Within the exit polls for the 2024 Jharkhand Meeting elections, psephologist Pradeep Gupta-led Axis My India predicted an enormous win for the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha-Congress-RJD alliance within the state.
In distinction to nearly all of exit ballot projections, which predicted a win for the BJP-led NDA, Axis My India projected an enormous victory for the JMM-Congress alliance. In accordance with the pollster, JMM-Congress mix is predicted to win 53 seats, whereas the BJP-led NDA is proven to bag 25 seats.
Psephologist Pradeep Gupta’s Axis My India launched its exit ballot predictions independently. The pollster used to collaborate with the India Right now information channel. Nevertheless, they parted methods earlier this yr.
Axis My India projections
In a demographic breakdown, Axis My India confirmed geographic vote share for the events within the exit polls for the 2024 Jharkhand elections.
The party-wise seat share as proven by Axis My India:
NDA (17-27 seats)
- BJP: 16-26
- AJSUP: 0-1
- JD(U): 0-1
- LJP(RV): 1
INDIA (49-59 seats)
- JMM: 32-36
- Congress: 13-16
- RJD: 3-4
- CPI(ML): 1-3
JLKM: 1-4 seats
Others: 0-2 seats
Rural vote share prediction reveals an higher hand to the INDIA bloc (JMM-Congress) with 46%, NDA at 35%. Equally, the city vote share projections additionally gave 44% to the INDIA bloc and 40% to the NDA bloc.
Solely the senior residents age group (61 and above) have been predicted to offer an fringe of 44% to NDA. Pradeep Gupta’s agency has projected the remainder of the age teams, together with first-time voters, to have given an higher hand to the INDIA bloc.
What did others pollsters say
P-Marq additionally projected an edge for the JMM-Congress partnership, predicting a win for them with 37-47 seats. The pollster predicted the BJP to safe 31-40 seats.
Different pollsters like Matrize, Peoples Pulse, and Occasions Now-JVC projected a win for the BJP-led Nationwide Democratic Alliance.
In accordance with Matrize, NDA is predicted to win 42-47 seats, INDIA bloc for 25-30 seats, and Others for 1-4 seats.
The NDA is projected to win 40-44 seats, INDIA to bag 30-40 seats, and Others only one, as per the Occasions Now-JVC predictions.
Peoples Pulse predicted NDA to win 44-53 seats, INDIA 25-37 seats, and Others 5-9.
What did 2019 exit polls say
Through the 2019 exit polls, Axis My India partnered with the India Right now Group. It had projected an edge for the JMM-Congress mix. It had mentioned that JMM-Cong alliance would win 43 seats, whereas the BJP would win 27.
ABP-Voter predicted a hung meeting, projecting 35 seats for UPA and 32 to the BJP. Occasions Now projected 44 seats for the opposition and 28 for the then-ruling BJP.
The United Progressive Alliance (UPA), comprising Congress and the Jharkhand Mukti Morcha, emerged victorious within the 2019 Jharkhand meeting polls.
